Harris and Trump deadlocked in new poll as Manchin pulls support: Live updates

Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris leads Republican Donald Trump 47% to 40% in the race to win the Nov. 5 U.S. presidential election, as she appeared to blunt Trump’s edge on the economy and jobs, a Reuters/Ipsos poll published on Tuesday found.

Harris had a six percentage point lead based on unrounded figures – which showed her with support from 46.61% of registered voters while Trump was backed by 40.48%, according to the three-day poll that closed on Monday. The Democrat’s lead was slightly higher than her five-point advantage over Trump in a Sept 11-12 Reuters/Ipsos poll.

Asked which candidate had the better approach on the “economy, unemployment and jobs,” some 43% of voters in the poll picked Trump and 41% selected Harris. Trump’s two-point advantage on the topic compares to his three-point lead in an August Reuters/Ipsos poll and an 11 point lead over Harris in late July shortly after she launched her campaign.

While national surveys including Reuters/Ipsos polls give important signals on the views of the electorate, the state-by-state results of the Electoral College determine the winner, with seven battleground states likely to be decisive.

The latest Reuters/Ipsos poll surveyed 1,029 U.S. adults online, nationwide, including 871 registered voters. Among these, 785 were considered the most likely to turn out on Election Day. Among these likely voters, Harris led 50% to 44%, though similar to her lead among all registered voters, her advantage was only five points when using unrounded figures.

In a speech focused on the economy and tax policy in Savannah, Georgia, Donald Trump has vowed that under his leadership, should he win November’s election, “we’re going to take other countries’ jobs … we’re going to take their factories, and we really had it rocking four years ago.”

With 41 days until Election Day, the presidential race remains too close to call as former President Donald Trump receives 48 per cent support among likely voters, Vice President Kamala Harris receives 47 per cent support, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein and Libertarian Party candidate Chase Oliver each receive 1 per cent support, according to a Quinnipiac University national poll of likely voters released today.

In the previous poll, released on August 29, following the Democratic National Convention, the presidential race was also too close to call, with Harris receiving 49 per cent support, Trump receiving 47 per cent support, and Stein and Oliver each getting 1 per cent support.

In today’s poll, Republicans 93-6 per cent back Trump, while Democrats 94-5 per cent back Harris. Among independents, 47 per cent back Trump, 44 per cent back Harris, 3 per cent back Stein, and 2 per cent back Oliver.

In a hypothetical two-way race between Harris and Trump, Trump receives 48 per cent support and Harris receives 48 per cent support.

Seventy per cent of likely voters supporting Harris say they are very enthusiastic about supporting her, compared to 75 per cent in August.

Seventy-one per cent of likely voters supporting Trump say they are very enthusiastic about supporting him, compared to 68 per cent in August.

Oscar-winning actor Jennifer Lawrence has explained to People why she is endorsing Kamala Harris for president: “Abortion is literally on the ballot.”

“I’m voting for Kamala Harris because I think she’s an amazing candidate and I know that she will do whatever she can to protect reproductive rights,” says the Oscar-winning actress, 34, urging others to do the same. “That’s the most important thing, is to not let somebody into the White House who is going to ban abortion.”

Ahead of the national election, the self-described feminist is producing two to-be-released documentary films that exemplify those political values: Bread and Roses, which follows three women living under Taliban rule in Afghanistan, and Zurawski v Texas, about abortion care supporters who in 2023 sued the state of Texas.

President Joe Biden has warned world leaders of the dangers of an expanded war in the Middle East during his final appearance before the United Nations General Assembly in New York.

The president, who will leave office in January, delivered what is most likely the final major foreign policy address of his half-century in public life on Tuesday. Just two months ago, he shocked the world by becoming the first American chief executive in a half-century to forgo seeking re-election to a second term.

Violent crime rates dropped in the United States in 2023, despite Trump claiming that they “through the roof”, according to data in a new FBI report.

Donald Trump’s claim that in the US: “Our crime rate is going up, while crime statistics all over the world are going down”, has now been debunked as false by official FBI data recorded for over 14 million criminal offenses in 2023.

By estimation, violent crime declined by 3 per cent in 2023 compared to the previous year while murders and non-negligent manslaughter crimes decreased by nearly 12 per cent.

Madeline Sherratt looked at the figures.

The Ohio senator lambasted the media for “debunking” the story during a campaign stop in North Carolina on Monday.

More now on the scenes from Trump’s Pennsylvania rally last night.

Trump told the Indiana crowd Vice President Kamala Harris has “illegally flown in more than half a million migrants” – a statistic he did not back up with evidence – thereby “changing the character of small towns and villages all over our country and changing them forever.”

Trump is under pressure from Republicans to debate Harris again, according to reports.

Following the debate on September 10, Republicans are encouraging Trump to face off against Harris again given how tight the race is.

Steve Cortes, a former adviser to Trump, told The Hill: ““We’re in a very tight race. I like where President Trump stands. However, I think any of us who do polling, who read polling carefully realize that this race is super, super tight and in that environment, I don’t think we should skip an opportunity to speak in front of a super large audience of Americans.”

Harris has already accepted a CNN invite for another round with Trump on October 23, but the former president said it is “too late” to have another debate.