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Key unanswered questions over Bayesian yacht sinking amid desperate search for Mike Lynch and other missing passengers after £30m sailboat sunk off Sicily during freak storm


After the £30million superyacht Bayesian sank off the coast of Italy on Monday morning, many questions have been raised as the desperate search effort continues.

The search for six missing people continues today with fears bodies are still trapped in the vessel which went down as British tech tycoon Mike Lynch and his friends celebrated his acquittal in a US fraud trial.

Mr Lynch, his 18-year-old daughter Hannah, Morgan Stanley boss Jonathan Bloomer, his wife Judy, lawyer Chris Morvillo and his wife Neda are all still yet to be found.

The vessel had been anchored just 300 metres from the coast when it was hit by a suspected freak waterspout amid heavy thunderstorms near the city of Palermo at around 5am.

The boat – which had been carrying 10 crew members and 12 passengers – went down quickly, with survivors found floating in a life raft describing how they swam for their lives.

But unanswered questions over the Bayesian sinking remain, including why it capsized when other boats stayed afloat.

It comes as:

Luxury sailboat Bayesian was docked off the coast of Porticello when a waterspout struck

The 'Bayesian' sailing boat, in Palermo, Sicily, Italy, which sank on Monday morning

The ‘Bayesian’ sailing boat, in Palermo, Sicily, Italy, which sank on Monday morning

Italian search and rescue teams search the water near where the boat went down

Italian search and rescue teams search the water near where the boat went down

A life raft docked at the harbour near where emergency and rescue services are working

A life raft docked at the harbour near where emergency and rescue services are working

British tech tycoon Mike Lynch (pictured above) is missing after his superyacht sank

British tech tycoon Mike Lynch (pictured above) is missing after his superyacht sank

Why did the boat sink when others stayed afloat?

Investigations are underway as to why the Bayesian sank as others in the vicinity remained afloat when disaster struck just before 5am on Monday.

The yacht – carrying 10 crew members and 12 passengers – had the world’s tallest aluminium mast at almost 250ft with questions being raised that it could have been what caused the vessel to capsize and plunge rapidly to the seabed, according to an expert.

It broke during the waterspout, causing the ship to sink after the weight of the mast took the hull beyond the ‘down-flooding angle’, technical consultant and nautical expert Gino Ciriaci told Italian website Corriere Della Sera. 

He said even if the mast was made of steel it would not have changed anything.

He said a mast that tall would have exerted a pressure of ‘tens of tons’ due to the wind and said it is ‘normal’ that the boat could sink based on its technical characteristics.

The Bayesian is classified as a ‘pleasure vessel’ due to its length, very tall aluminium mast and being 37ft at its widest point.

Mr Ciriaci, who was a shipyard manager in Rome and is authorized by the Italian Ministry of Industry (Consap) to carry out technical assessments following accidents, said a mast can break in ‘particularly extreme conditions’.

He said once the mast has fallen, the boat pitches and rolls with the waves much more vigorously without the mast and sails to dampen its movements.

In the case of the Bayesian he said the whirlwind was so violent that the boat heeled over, tilted and put the edge of the deck under water, and at that point, the water began to enter and the boat sank. 

The freakish nature of the event was brought into context by the fact that a Dutch sailing ship, the Sir Robert BP, which was anchored just metres away from the Bayesian, survived unscathed before rescuing the 15 passengers.

Karsten Borner, the captain of the boat, described how his vessel was battered by strong gusts, with his team working to stabilise it and manoeuvre it to avoid hitting the Bayesian nearby.

The superyacht was docked off the coast of Porticello, near Palermo, when a waterspout hit

The superyacht was docked off the coast of Porticello, near Palermo, when a waterspout hit

What caused the freak weather accident?

The boat had been anchored offshore from Porticello, having sailed from the seaside village of Cefalu, when it was hit by a freak waterspout caused by bad weather and sank near Palermo.

Matthew Shank, chairman of the Maritime Search and Rescue Council, told Radio 4 this morning: ‘There were weather warnings out that evening for intense thunderstorms. They are still incredibly rare weather events.’

The boat – which had been carrying 10 crew members and 12 passengers – went down quickly, with survivors found floating in a life raft describing how they swam for their lives.

One maritime expert has claimed the sinking of such a large vessel due to weather conditions is ‘unprecedented’ and has suggested that despite the severe storm at the time the superyacht should have been able to withstand it.

The yacht sank as a fierce storm battered the area overnight, with local meteorologists warning that 30C temperatures – warmer than normal – had amplified the risk of an extreme weather event.

Survivors were dramatically rescued from the water in the aftermath including one woman who heroically saved a one-year-old British boy.

Emergency response teams are seen at the harbour near where the boat sank Monday morning

Emergency response teams are seen at the harbour near where the boat sank Monday morning

Experienced cave divers for deep sea recoveries continue the rescue operation for missing people who were on board a sailboat that sank off Porticello, near Palermo, Sicily, Italy

Experienced cave divers for deep sea recoveries continue the rescue operation for missing people who were on board a sailboat that sank off Porticello, near Palermo, Sicily, Italy

Could the six missing passengers still be alive? 

Mr Lynch, his 18-year-old daughter Hannah, Morgan Stanley boss Jonathan Bloomer, his wife Judy, lawyer Chris Morvillo and his wife Neda are all still yet to be found. 

As the sun rose over the Mediterranean this morning, the search for them resumed with specialist divers heading 50m (164ft) down to where the wreck of the vessel lies on the seabed.

Any hopes of finding the missing six alive is being hampered by a number of challenges: dive teams are limited to 12 minute shifts to explore the wreck, and they also need to have a clear path without the threat of debris to ensure a safe exit. 

Nick Sloane, an engineer who led the salvage operation for the Costa Concordia disaster, says survivors may be trapped in ‘air pockets’ on board the doomed vessel.

Chairman of Morgan Stanley International, Jonathan Bloomer (pictured), and his wife are also missing

Chairman of Morgan Stanley International, Jonathan Bloomer (pictured), and his wife are also missing

A professional headshot for Morvillo, who works for Clifford Chance lawyers in NYC and previously served as a prosecutor for the southern district of New York

Neda runs a high-end jewelry line using her maiden name, Neda Nassiri

Lynch’s attorney Christopher Morvillo (pictured) and his wife Neda are also missing 

Neda and her husband Christopher are both missing in the wake of Monday's superyacht sinking off the coast of Sicily

Neda and her husband Christopher are both missing in the wake of Monday’s superyacht sinking off the coast of Sicily

He told Sky News that the next 24 hours are critical in the ‘very dangerous’ operation, with rescuers having to be aware of floating materials ‘that can trap you’. 

‘They’ve got a very small window of time to try to find people stuck inside with hopefully an air pocket, and they could be rescued,’ he said. 

Firefighter divers trained to work in tight spaces were flown in from Rome and Sardinia to aid in the operation yesterday, but in their first search below the surface they failed to gain access to the vessel.

Asked about the likelihood of them being alive, Vincenzo Zagarola of the Italian Coastguard said: ‘Never say never, but reasonably the answer should be not.’

Are the six missing passengers still inside the yacht?

During yesterday’s frantic search it was reported that bodies had been seen through the portholes in some of the cabins, although it is believed that divers have not been able to get inside the vessel due to furniture obstructing the way in.

Search teams have already found the body of one man, thought to be an onboard chef, and there are fears that more bodies will be found in the hull of the ship by specialist divers today. 

Officials have said those on board the boat were in ‘the wrong place at the wrong time’, with hope already fading that anyone else will be found alive this morning.

Francesco Venuto, the spokesperson for Sicily’s civil protection agency, also told the BBC that they ‘think [the corpses] must be there [in the boat]’.

He added: ‘We’ve been searching all day with helicopters and boats, we’ve found nothing. That wouldn’t make sense, in [these] conditions we should have found something by now.’

Mr Zagarola said officials in Sicily were working on the theory they were still inside the superyacht. 

He told the PA News Agency: ‘We think they are still inside the boat, that is our very hard idea. 

‘Of course, we do not exclude that they are not inside the boat, but we know the boat sank quickly.

‘We suppose that the six people missing may not have had time to get out of the boat.’

Expert divers reached the hull on Monday morning, with more specialist teams brought in as the day went on cables reportedly fixed between the yacht and the surface to allow easier descent.

‘The specialists are able to get into small spaces underwater,’ a spokesman said.

Divers search for the missing people, including British entrepreneur Mike Lynch, after a luxury yacht sank off Sicily, Italy August 19

Divers search for the missing people, including British entrepreneur Mike Lynch, after a luxury yacht sank off Sicily, Italy August 19

Italian Coast Guard Command teams and firefighters are carrying out search and rescue

Italian Coast Guard Command teams and firefighters are carrying out search and rescue

Italian Coast Guard Command teams and firefighters are carrying out search and rescue operations with helicopters and ships to find missing people after the yacht sank on Monday

Italian Coast Guard Command teams and firefighters are carrying out search and rescue operations with helicopters and ships to find missing people after the yacht sank on Monday

Did the crew have time to close their access hatches into the vessel before the storm struck?

Last night it emerged the UK Marine Accident Investigation Branch is deploying a team of four inspectors to Italy to conduct a preliminary assessment. 

One expert at the scene of the disaster, who declined to be named, said an early focus of the investigation would be whether the yacht’s crew had had time to close access hatches into the vessel before the storm struck.

Investigators would look at whether appropriate measures had been taken, given the forecasts for bad weather overnight.

‘We didn’t see it coming,’ the captain of the yacht, James Catfield, said of the storm, according to la Repubblica news website on Monday.

Emergency divers found wreckage of the vessel at a depth of 187ft, where ‘through the portholes they saw corpses’.

Where did the mayday flare come from?

As the yacht began to sink, a member of the crew fired a distress flare which alerted vessels nearby.

Mr Shank told Radio 4: ‘One of the captains from the anchorage said he saw the vessel there one minute and then the next minute the yacht was gone.

‘All he saw was the red flare which indicates to me that this has been a catastrophic incident which has gone very quickly.’

Fabio Cefalu, a fisherman who witnessed the freak storm, told Italian media he stayed on site for several hours.

‘After 10 minutes we saw a flare in the sky, we waited about 10 minutes to see the intensity of the tornado and we went out to sea,’ he said.

‘We were first to give rescue but we found no one at sea, we only found cushions and the remains of the boat.’

His brother Giuseppe – also a fisherman – told the PA news agency through a translator that he saw a ‘tornado’ close to the port of Porticello, and he and his sibling saw a flare in the sky at around 5am.

The pair aided efforts to locate people in the water after the yacht sank, but he said he only saw cushions and a buoy.

He said weather conditions on the morning of the sinking were ‘fierce’, with ‘very strong’ wind and rain.



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