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Northern Ireland’s population to peak in 2033


The ‘working age’ population, meaning people aged 16 – 64, is projected to start falling by the middle of 2028.

The projection suggests the over 65s will be more than one in four of the population by 2047 compared to about one in six today.

Children, defined as people under 15, are projected to fall from, just over one in five of the population in 2022 to less than one in six by 2047.

Among the constituent parts of the UK Northern Ireland is projected to have the largest decrease in the population of children and largest increase in the pension age population.

The projections are not intended to act as a forecast and the underpinning assumptions can change, for example if the government was to change its migration policy.”



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